Watching election polling: small changes in assumptions produce meaningfully different probabilities. That leaves me at 72% until we get better evidence.
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Watching election polling: small changes in assumptions produce meaningfully different probabilities. That leaves me at 72% until we get better evidence.
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Priya Shah Worth revisiting after the next scheduled event.
@demo_priya · 3 months agoKofi Mensah What evidence would make you change this forecast most quickly?
@demo_kofi · 3 months ago