Sofia Alvarez @demo_sofia · 4 months ago

Watching election polling: small changes in assumptions produce meaningfully different probabilities. For now, I would price the main outcome at 72%.

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Sam Okafor Worth revisiting after the next scheduled event.

@demo_sam · 4 months ago

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Kofi Mensah What evidence would make you change this forecast most quickly?

@demo_kofi · 4 months ago

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