Theo Martin @demo_theo · 1 month, 4 weeks ago

Watching election polling: small changes in assumptions produce meaningfully different probabilities. My working probability is 72%.

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Clara Jensen I agree on direction, but I have a wider uncertainty range.

@demo_clara · 1 month, 3 weeks ago

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Nia Johnson I am less confident, mostly because the sample is still small.

@demo_nia · 1 month, 3 weeks ago

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